ROS D/ST Projections

Please take these projections with a grain of salt for now (writing this in week 9). I typically only post this table in week 14 before the fantasy playoffs so that people can see who the best streaming defenses are in the playoffs. People have asked for it now though, so I figured I’d post it. Every week the projections will get stronger and stronger as the sample size grows for not only defense PPG, but also PPG allowed. Through 8 weeks (7 games for some teams) outlier games (both good and bad) have more weight. But with every week we get a better idea of how good and bad each team is as a matchup.
Week 9: If you want to see the matchup for any given week, simply click the “Columns” button next to “Print”. Then select the matchup week you want to see from the drop down.
Week 9 Avg: This would be the PPG expectation for each D/ST in week 9. This is NOT a true projection. It’s simply a look at each teams PPG thus far combined with their opponents PPG allowed to opposing D/ST’s with a home vs away adjustment. The actual weekly D/ST rankings can be found here.
ROS “Proj”: This is the outlook for each D/ST for the rest of the season. Again, it’s not a true projection. But it gives you an idea of who the top defenses are adjusted for matchup.
Playoffs “Proj”: Same as the above, but only looking at the fantasy playoffs (weeks 15-17).